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To the casual sports bettor, “Monday Night Football” has all the makings of a blowout.
A dome team that’s already been eliminated from the playoffs is bringing a backup quarterback.
But as we all know, games are not played on paper — unless you’re an SEC fan still whining about Indiana and SMU reaching the college football playoff. I digress…
I am not backing the New Orleans Saints +14 at the Green Bay Packers, largely because I tend to know when to avoid certain NFL underdogs that sharp and respected bettors are backing.
Saints vs. Packers odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | +14 (-110) | +625 | Over 42.5 (-110) |
| Pacjers | -14 (-110) | -1000 | Under 42.5 (-110) |
Saints vs. Packers prediction
The pros profit. That’s inarguable. But sometimes, you need to know when to avoid certain games. It’s all about your own comfort level.
“We will end up needing New Orleans but we’ve taken some large, respected wagers on the Saints. The public will be all over Green Bay,” Las Vegas SuperBook vice president and oddsmaker John Murray told Only Players on Sunday morning. “I have to look at how many favorites win today before I know how we might move the Monday Night football point spread.”
Pro bettors lined up to bet the Commanders +3.5 and Seahawks +3 as home underdogs Sunday, with Washington winning in thrilling fashion and Seattle pushing.
Both scared me but I understood the logic. And I see the rationale with the Saints, particularly because I think backup quarterback Spencer Rattler is much more competent and reliable than last week’s backup, Jake Haener.
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“Points mean more than opinions. Key numbers in the NFL are three, seven, 10, six and 14. All of which are covered with this spread,” professional bettor Scott Pritchard told Only Players via text message, sharing that he bet New Orleans +14.5 but still recommends +14. “Packers are there to win the game, not by 17. A late back door meaningless TD is always in the works.”
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Weather forecasts call for temperatures in the 20s but only a light flurry if any snow. I honestly think this game lands right around the number.
I am not backing the Saints, largely because New Orleans stud running back Alvin Kamara is out, but I also cannot lay that many points.
PROFESSIONAL PICK: Saints +14 (-110, ESPN BET)
DOUG KEZIRIAN REC: Avoid bet
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who currently serves as the Chief Content Officer for Only Players, a sports betting media company. Doug has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He’s also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.