NY’s dramatic ‘red shift’ sees Trump support grow in nearly every county, led by massive NYC gains: data

New York is seeing red.

Donald Trump improved his showing in nearly every Empire State county during the 2024 presidential election – a dramatic “red shift” by voters toward Republicans led by massive gains in New York City, unofficial vote tallies reveal.

Trump, 78, performed nearly 22 percentage points better in The Bronx and Queens than he did in 2020 – a staggering improvement in two of the most diverse places on the planet for a candidate decried by his opponents as a craven racist.

The shift by New York voters toward Trump, who also performed nearly 12 percentage points better statewide during Tuesday’s election than he did in 2020, should be a warning for the left, said Jake Dilemani, a Democratic strategist.

“Things like ‘defund the police’ or some of the over-woke-ization of social issues were alienating to voters, some of them who had historically voted Democratic,” he told The Post. 

“And so I think this election now, where we continue to see a loss of support for Democratic candidates among black men and Hispanic men, East Asian voters, I think that is hopefully the final wake up call for Democrats.”

Donald Trump performed better in nearly every New York county than he did in 2020. REUTERS

Bronx and Queens counties saw the biggest increase in Republican voting in all of New York state.

New York City voters as a whole still largely preferred Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, who carried the city 68% to Trump’s 30%, according to the city Board of Elections results.

But voters in all five boroughs, as well as suburban counties in Long Island and the lower Hudson Valley, still shifted toward Trump by leaps and bounds, vote tallies show. 

Trump showed double-digit improvements in the boroughs, including Manhattan, and key suburban counties such as Nassau and Rockland.

Only two New York counties – Seneca and Yates, both upstate – saw voters shift toward Harris, helping her improve on President Biden’s 2020 showing, state Board of Elections results show.

Even though Trump lost New York City, he performed much better than he did last election. Apolline Guillerot-Malick/SOPA Images/Shutterstock

Trump’s strong showing also propelled Republican Rep. Mike Lawler to a second term in the race for the 17th Congressional District in suburbs north of New York City.

Biden had carried Rockland County, the heart of the district, during 2020, with 50% of the vote to Trump’s 48%, results show.

But Trump flipped the script big time this year, 55% to Harris’ 43%, early results show.

GOP Rep. Mike Lawler speaking at a campaign watch party in New City on Nov. 5, 2024. Peter Carr/The Journal News / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Lawler clinched a key victory in his battleground race, with nearly 51% of voters cast to Democrat Mondaire Jones’ 44%, according to the BOE.

The red wave following Trump also washed ashore in Long Island, where Nassau County voters picked a Republican presidential candidate for the first time since 1992.


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In 2020, Biden carried Nassau County by 10 percentage points, 54% to Trump’s 44%, results show.

This cycle, Trump won Nassau 51% to Harris’ 57%, according to early results.

Rep. Mike Lawler clinched a key victory in his congressional race covering Rockland County. Tania Savayan/The Journal News / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

“Amazingly, President Trump was able to garner a 100,000-vote swing in Nassau County, going from a deficit of 70,000 votes in 2020 to plus 33,000 votes this past election,” crowed Bruce Blakeman, the Republican county executive.

Nassau GOP officials said Trump’s strong showing helped Republican Michael Norber, a former IDF soldier, topple two-term Democratic state Assemblywoman Gina Sillitti and put Republican congressional candidate Mike LiPetri within striking distance of heavily favored Democratic Rep. Tom Suozzi.

Trump winning both Nassau and Suffolk counties dismayed Jay Jacobs, chair of the New York State Democratic Committee, who said it speaks to larger voter dissatisfaction. 

“I think it’s tremendously disappointing to me, because I think of people in a more positive way, and it surprises me that there would be so many people that could vote for a man like Donald Trump, someone that they wouldn’t have watched their children, certainly wouldn’t put them in charge of any of their businesses, and frankly, wouldn’t entrust their money to the trustee,” he said.

“I think when people are hurting economically, then they’re going to look to someone or something else. And unfortunately, right now, they’re looking to the dark side.”

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