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For the third time this season, the NFL will wrap up the week with a doubleheader on Monday Night.
Both games feature non-conference matchups as the Ravens travel to Tampa to take on the Buccaneers, while the Cardinals host the Chargers in the second game.
Two games mean twice the fun for NFL fans, so let’s get right down to business with which player props offer the best value in the market.
Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-108, FanDuel)
The Buccaneers and Ravens have two of the most potent offenses in the league, ranking third and fourth in scoring with at least 29.5 points per game.
Thus, it’s no surprise the total is as high as 50 after opening at 46. Tampa Bay’s offense ranks fifth in yards per play (6.1), so it should be able to move the ball down the field.
However, the Buccaneers will need some creativity inside the red zone, as the Ravens easily have the stingiest run defense in the league.
Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield, who was often viewed as just a game manager, has become one of the better passers in the league and is tied for first in touchdowns with 15.
He’s exceeded 1.5 passing touchdowns in his last three games and 10 of his previous 13. In a game that figures to be high-scoring, look for Mayfield to add to his touchdown tally.
Chris Godwin over 73.5 receiving yards (-120, DraftKings)
Mayfield has plenty of weapons at his disposal, and he’ll likely look in the direction of Chris Godwin early and often.
Godwin leads the Buccaneers with 53 targets and has almost twice as many receiving yards (511) as any other pass catcher on the team.
Baltimore does a tremendous job of getting ahead in games, which forces its opponents to almost abandon the run in favor of the pass.
Unfortunately, the Ravens can get a bit lackadaisical in their pass defense, as they rank in the bottom 10 for receiving yards allowed.
Godwin has thrived against teams that fit this type of profile, going over his receiving yards prop in six of his last seven games in this spot.
During that stretch, he’s averaging 97 receiving yards, which looks promising with his yardage prop set at 73.5.
Kyler Murray over 32.5 rushing yards (-113, ESPN BET)
The line has completely flipped in the Chargers-Cardinals game, with Arizona now an underdog (+1.5) after opening as a one-point favorite.
That’s quite an aggressive move, especially considering that the Chargers could be without one of their biggest disruptors, as Joey Bosa is doubtful on the injury report.
Nonetheless, Los Angeles still has one of the better defenses, ranked third overall in DVOA.
The Chargers’ playing style is much more deliberate under Jim Harbaugh, and the point spread suggests this should be a tightly–contested game.
Arizona is coming off a 34-14 defeat in Green Bay, where quarterback Kyler Murray managed only 14 rushing yards.
This is a winnable game for the Cardinals as they look to bounce back from a blowout loss, and these high-leverage games are when you’d expect Murray to use more of his legs.
Murray has gone over his rushing prop of 32.5 yards in four of his last five home games, and Bosa’s potential absence is almost an open invitation for the diminutive quarterback to try his luck at running the ball.
Justin Herbert under 12.5 rushing yards (-113, Fanatics)
The Chargers dodged a bullet following Week 2 when X-ray results on Justin Herbert’s ankle returned negative.
Since taking over, Harbaugh has provided structure to a Chargers team that looked undisciplined during the tenure of Brandon Staley.
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Harbaugh knows he needs a healthy Herbert for the Chargers to be successful, and the last thing he wants to see is his quarterback taking off and running out of the pocket.
Since Week 2, Herbert is averaging just 2.6 rushing attempts per game while gaining just two yards. His rushing yards prop is available at 12.5, and he hasn’t exceeded this projection in six of his last seven games.
Herbert is running the ball much less than earlier in his career, and if he’s still feeling the effects of the ankle injury, a play on the under offers even greater value.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Arinze handicaps most major sports for the New York Post. He’s cashed two 15-leg teasers in his betting career as well as a 12-leg parlay that included eight Little League World Series games. More recently, he accurately picked finalists in the 2024 European Championships and Copa America.