Mets vs. Marlins prediction: MLB picks, odds, player props for Saturday

Roddery Munoz’s rookie season began with optimism as the 24-year-old possesses powerful velocity on his fastball.

In the 10 starts he has made, it’s his inconsistent zone command that’s hindered him and, well, he plays for the Marlins.

Let’s first state the obvious: The Marlins are a bad professional baseball team.

They have generated the second-fewest weighted runs created plus (wRC+), a mark that implies any starting pitcher for the Marlins will struggle with run support.

Munoz’s 5.47 ERA has taken some hits from the poor fielding behind him — Miami is MLB’s second-worst club in defensive runs saved at minus-34.

The Mets and Brandon Nimmo will look to take down the Marlins on Saturday.
The Mets and Brandon Nimmo will look to take down the Marlins on Saturday. AP

So the youngster’s numbers are indeed suffering from the pieces around him, though while he mixes his pitches quite effectively, Munoz has allowed a home run on each of the five pitches in his arsenal.

The righty was never a strong strikeout pitcher in the minors, and jump from Triple-A has translated to more hard-hit balls and walks complemented by a regressing strikeout rate (7.41 per nine innings).

Munoz has missed his strikeouts prop in five consecutive starts leading up to Saturday’s visit by the Mets.


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Munoz stuck out five Mets on June 13, but I’m hesitant to trust him again as he’s been considerably more vulnerable in LoanDepot Park.

He also is facing a Mets offense that’s the No. 1 contact-making lineup in the last month of play.

The play: Roddery Munoz Under 4.5 strikeouts

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