Timberwolves vs. Thunder Game 5 prediction: NBA Western Conference finals odds, picks

The offenses in the NBA Western Conference finals are clicking on all cylinders.

On Monday night, the Thunder and Timberwolves combined for 254 points in a thrilling Game 4, which was the third-most of the 2025 playoffs.

Oklahoma City has been scoring at will throughout this series, but it appears Minnesota has figured something out on the offensive end as well.

The Timberwolves’ 143- and 126-point performances in Games 3 and 4, respectively, are the highest they’ve had spanning this and last year’s postseason runs, including back-to-back conference finals trips.

Oklahoma City’s defense is a juggernaut, but its defense will need to right the ship a bit in this one as well.

The Thunder have scored at least 114 points in every game aside from their dud in Game 3, and are averaging more than 115 points per game in the series.

If we’re targeting the total, the Wolves are the team to be worried about.

But it appears that the light bulb clicked on after scoring just 191 points combined through the first two games of the series.

Anthony Edwards will need a big Game 5 to keep Minnesota alive.
Anthony Edwards will need a big Game 5 to keep Minnesota alive. NBAE via Getty Images

Over the past two games, the Wolves have dominated the league-best Thunder defense.

In their Game 3 win Minnesota came out swinging and didn’t let up, dropping 143 points.


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That offensive success continued in Game 4 with 126 points, albeit in a loss.

Their 3-point shooting has been the difference, averaging an excellent 46.9 percent from deep over those two games.

Reigning NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander could be headed to an NBA FInals berth with a win Wednesday.
Reigning NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander could be headed to an NBA FInals berth with a win Wednesday. IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

We can’t expect the Timberwolves’ offense to hum on quite that level, but I think we’ve hit the point in the series where both teams know what they want to do on the offensive end.

The total is sitting around 216.5 at most major sportsbooks — these teams have hit the over on this number in three straight games, let’s see if they can make it four.

The play: Thunder-Timberwolves Over 216.5 points (-110, BetMGM)


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Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.

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