AP
The bookmakers believe the 2025 Men’s French Open at Roland Garros is straightforward.
Two players can win this tournament: Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner.
Alcaraz is an even-money favorite to win La Coupe des Mousquetaires for the second year in a row, while Sinner is just behind him at +210 odds.
The two superstars are on opposite sides of the draw, meaning they’d face one another in the final on Sunday, June 8, if they don’t lose beforehand.
Novak Djokovic, a three-time winner at Roland Garros, is the third favorite at 11/1 odds, just ahead of Alexander Zverev (15/1), Lorenzo Mussetti (20/1) and Casper Ruud (22/1).
Zverev finished second at Roland Garros in 2024, while Ruud lost in the finals in 2022 and 2023.
Men’s tennis is notoriously chalky at Grand Slams, but Roland Garros takes things to another level. The last true surprise winner here was Stan Wawrinka in 2014, but he was considered to be the best player outside of Djokovic, Rafa Nadal, and Roger Federer at the time, so it wasn’t a true shocker even though he was 25/1 before Round 1.
For a real stunner, you’d have to go back 21 years to Gaston Gaudio’s dramatic win as a 50/1 outsider in 2004.
It may seem like a futile endeavor to pick a couple of sleepers in this field, but betting should be fun, right?
2025 French Open long shots
Daniil Medvedev (80/1, bet365)
It’s been a trying season for Daniil Medvedev, but he has shown some signs that he is beginning to round into form. He didn’t make any deep runs during the European clay-court season, but he went a game 7-3 in the last three tournaments, all of which were Masters events.
At the peak of his powers, Medvedev is one of the toughest opponents in the world, especially in best-of-5 tennis. His defensive game is off the charts, and his tennis IQ makes him nearly impossible to gameplan against.
Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps
- Check out the best sports betting sites
- Download the best sports betting app
The Russian has never made it beyond the quarterfinals at Roland Garros, but he’ll be buoyant after getting a soft draw that sees him land in Alexander Zverev’s quarter.
If he is back to being fully fit, Medvedev has a chance to make a deep run at a massive price in Paris.
Joao Fonseca (95/1, FanDuel)
I’m going to bite.
Fonseca became the talk of the tennis world in the beginning stages of 2025. The teenager from Brazil won his maiden ATP title in front of a raucous crowd in Rio de Janeiro in February and, immediately, there was talk about his chances of being an upstart at Roland Garros.
Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps
- Check out the best sports betting sites
- Download the best sports betting app
The hype cooled considerably as Fonseca’s form dipped through March and April, but at this price, I am happy to jump in and back this massive talent.
Fonseca’s draw certainly isn’t pretty, but his opponents in the early rounds are more than gettable, and he has the game to punch up against the likes of Jack Draper or Alex de Minaur. From there, you’ll hope to get lucky and see Sinner get upset before a potential showdown in the quarters.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.