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The Alabama Crimson Tide has begun to roll down the stretch and have all but implanted themselves into the College Football Playoff.
They enter this matchup ranked seventh, but with a shakeup bound to happen this weekend, a big road win could go a long way here.
Standing in the way of that will be the Oklahoma Sooners. The Sooners come in at 5-5 on the season but have been pushed around in their first season of SEC play.
That trend will continue in this matchup, as the Sooners do not match up well against the Crimson Tide defense. Oklahoma’s offensive line has struggled mightily, hampering their entire offense.
Alabama vs. Oklahoma odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | -13.5 (-110) | -575 | o47 (-110) |
| Oklahoma | +13.5 (-110) | +425 | u47 (-110) |
Alabama vs. Oklahoma prediction
The Sooners come into this match ranked 124th in yards per rush, 129th in yards per pass and 132nd in quarterback sack rate allowed.
Put that up against an Alabama defense that is 33rd in yards per rush allowed and 12th in yards per pass allowed, and you have a recipe for a quiet night from the Sooners’ offense.
However, the key to our angle will come when Alabama has the ball. We all know how dynamic Jalen Milroe can be, as he’s about as good a dual-threat quarterback as we’ve seen.
Although, MIlroe and company may get off to a slow start on the road here as the Sooners have proven they are capable of slowing down the Crimson Tide’s rushing attack. Alabama runs the ball at the 32nd-highest rate in the country, but Oklahoma ranks third in yards per rush allowed.
While I don’t expect this matchup up front to perturb the Crimson Tide from running the ball, if they are forced to operate outside of their comfort zone early on, it may lead to some stalled drives.
In addition, Oklahoma has had ample time to prepare for this matchup. It is coming off a bye, and the last time we saw them, they took Missouri down to the wire after holding them to three points in the first half.
Alabama vs. Oklahoma pick
Analyzing the market, we have begun to see the full game total come down from its opening number of 47. The game script detailed above is a factor, but the weather will also play a significant role.
Since 2015, games with wind speeds of at least 13 mph have been Under the total at a 57 percent rate.
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This matchup is projected to have the highest wind gusts on the slate, as they are expected to reach 16 mph.
This will impact the passing game of both teams, and it may take each team some time to adjust.
We have a great opportunity to use this trend and shorten the window for scoring by taking the first half under.
THE PICK: First half Under 24 (-115, bet365)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Doug Ziefel has been betting for more than a decade, and with U.S. operators in his native New Jersey since the market launched in 2018. He helps new bettors get the most out of their sportsbook promos and welcome offers for the New York Post.