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Football handicapper Sean Treppedi is in his first season in The Post’s NFL Bettor’s Guide.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-1.5) over Kansas City Chiefs
There’s a laundry list of records out there supporting Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid when they are a) off extended rest and b) listed as underdogs.
If we solely relied on trends like these, we might as well just bet the Chiefs until the two of them retire.
The 49ers have had several extra days of rest themselves — a condition in which Brock Purdy is 3-0 straight up in regular-season games when the spread is four points or less.
The Chiefs’ league-leading pressure rate is challenged with Purdy’s 67 percent completion rate when under duress.
Fluctuating injury reports aside, the 49ers’ sticky secondary is still primed to expose a make-shift receiving corps in the Super Bowl revenge game backed by a home crowd.
Seattle Seahawks (+3) over ATLANTA FALCONS
From 3-0 to 3-3 and now priced as 3-point underdogs against the soaring Falcons, you might be feeling apprehensive about Seattle.
Nonetheless, this is a time to buy low: Forget last week’s short-rest failure against the 49ers, who sought a statement after an embarrassing defeat to Arizona.
The Lions are arguably the NFL’s most complete team, so the only loss in question comes down to a fourth-quarter blocked field goal against the Giants.
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Seattle’s offense boasts three receivers averaging more than 50 yards per game — which is linked to Geno Smith leading all quarterbacks in passes completed, yards gained by passing and first downs attained through the air.
On the ground, Kenneth Walker’s recent efficiency draws an inviting Atlanta rush defense that’s allowed the fifth-most carries and seventh-most yards.
Last week: 0-2. Patriots (L). Broncos (L)
Season: 6-6.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.