A number of Democrats could potentially be chosen to replace President Biden after he sparked alarm over his mental state at Thursday’s presidential debate.
Even those close to the 81-year-old president have publicly expressed concern over his performance against Donald Trump based on Biden’s mumblings, freezes, facial expressions, cough and sometimes incoherent arguments.
With a little more than four months to go before the election, the Democratic Party’s situation is largely dependent on whether Biden decides to remain in the election, if his pledged delegates stay loyal to him at the Democratic National Convention in August, and if the Democratic National Committee decides to rewrite its convention rules.
A handful of high-profile Democrats could rise to the top and be chosen as the Democratic nominee, depending on those answers, even though the process would be extremely ardous.
The president’s campaign has stressed that he’s still running. But if Biden did decide to step down, he could not simply choose his successor. It would be up to the DNC to elect a new presidential and vice presidential ticket.
Names leading the pack include Vice President Kamala Harris, California Gov. Gavin Newsom, Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker, Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and former first lady Michelle Obama.
But there could be many more possibilities.
A recent Politico poll found that a plurality of voters, 21%, thought Harris should be the 2028 candidate. Another 10% said the same about Newsom and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, while an overwhelming 41% said they didn’t know who would be best to replace Biden in the next election.
Kamala Harris
Harris would be considered a decent choice because of her proximity to Biden and his platform — if only she wasn’t plagued by underwater approval ratings.
The former California attorney general is currently averaging a dismal 39.4% disapproval rating, according to FiveThirtyEight.
And despite the Politico poll showing she was a top pick for 2028, only 34% told the outlet they thought Harris was “very likely” or “somewhat likely” to win the general election, while 57% said it was either “not too likely” or “not likely at all.”
Harris’ odds of being the party’s presidential nominee increased 900 points after the debate, while Biden’s went down 250 points, according to BetOnline.
Gavin Newsom
The California governor has been one of Biden’s most vocal surrogates in the 2024 election, even showing up at Republican primary debates to stump for the president.
Newsom was also Biden’s top ally in the post-debate spin room involving the press, showing up hours before the showdown to stress Democratic talking points.
After the debate, Newsom told MSNBC that the “panic” over Biden’s performance was “unnecessary” and that “we gotta have the back of this president.”
He said he intends to “step up” for the president and not focus on the debate.
Newsom’s betting odds of becoming the nominee increased after the debate, with his chances improving by 300 points, according to BetOnline.
Michelle Obama
The former first lady has largely stayed out of politics since she and former President Barack Obama left the White House in 2016.
But that hasn’t stopped Democrats from backing her odds as the Dems’ next presidential nomiee.
Her odds increased by 850 points after the debate on BetOnline.
JB Pritzker
Pritzker would have the easiest time running because of his billionaire net worth, easing his ability to reach voters in a short time by potentially self-funding his campaign, according to Dennis Lennox, a Republican strategist and expert on convention rules.
“Procedurally, a contested convention — regardless of whether they reject or amend the proposed rules or suspend the rules — is straightforward and easy to bring about, though it would almost certainly unravel into a civil war between the disparate interests that make up today’s Democratic Party,” Lennox told The Post.
“The convention host, Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker, is the obvious choice. He doesn’t have the baggage of Vice President Kamala Harris or California’s governor, Gavin Newsom. Plus, the billionaire can self-fund overnight and buy the nomination, thereby averting a civil war on the floor of the convention,” he added.
“Of course, if you’re Newsom, Maryland Gov. Wes Moore or Josh Shapiro, the Pennsylvania governor, you can’t self-fund. So you stick with Biden. While he loses to Trump, you remain viable for the 2028 campaign that begins the day after November,” the GOP expert said.
Pritzker’s odds to become the nominee on BetOnline jumped by 7,500 points.
Gretchen Whitmer
The Michigan governor has quickly risen in the ranks of known Democratic leaders.
She is often mentioned in online discourse about who could possibly step in for Biden and launched a national political group last year to boost her name recognition.
Whitmer, Harris, Newsom and Pritzker have not publicly expressed any interest in running against Biden and maintained support for him after the debate.
Whitmer’s chances at becoming the nominee increased by 1,800 on BetOnline post-debate.
Meanwhile, Trump’s closest allies stressed after the debate that Biden is the nominee and disputed claims he could be replaced.
Lara Trump, the Republican National Committee co-chair, said GOP leaders “hope” Biden is present for the second debate set for Sep. 10 so voters can have more opportunities “to compare these two candidates.”
Neurosurgeon and former 2016 GOP presidential primary candidate Dr. Ben Carson said, “If I had done this poorly, I would want to redeem myself” in a second debate.
“But by the same token, I would be afraid that I was going to make it worse,” he told The Post.
Upstate Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY) said, “Look, Joe Biden is on the ballot this November.
“We will defeat Joe Biden. Democrats are getting desperate because they know what a disaster that was.”
Top Trump adviser Chris LaCivita also poured cold water on the possibility of a Biden replacement, saying, “The only way that happens is if Joe Biden himself voluntarily takes himself out of it,” adding he “hopes” Biden will be there at the Sept. 10 debate.
Biden’s campaign said “no” to an inquiry from The Post on whether Biden is considering dropping out.