A wild-card spot a digital lock for Blue Jays, dwelling discipline a superb risk

With two weeks left within the common season, the Toronto Blue Jays lead the American League wild-card standings and have a faint likelihood of catching the New York Yankees within the East Division race.

This is a take a look at a few of the numbers and storylines because the Blue Jays proceed their street journey Thursday evening with the opener of a giant four-game collection towards the Tampa Bay Rays.

NUMBERS GAME

The Blue Jays are a digital lock to qualify for the playoffs because of a robust September that put a long way between them and the groups chasing Toronto, Tampa Bay and Seattle for the three AL wild-card spots.

The Toronto-Tampa Bay collection might have a huge impact on the battle for the highest wild-card place, which comes with home-field benefit within the best-of-three first spherical.

The highest two division winners earn byes whereas the third-ranked division winner hosts the third wild-card crew (No. 3 seed vs. No. 6 seed). The highest wild-card crew hosts the second wild-card entry (No. 4 vs. No. 5).

Getting into Thursday’s video games, Toronto was two video games up on Tampa Bay and a pair of 1/2 video games forward of Seattle. The Baltimore Orioles have been 4 video games behind the Mariners.

The West Division-leading Houston Astros have been the one AL crew that has clinched a playoff berth.

The East-leading Yankees have been 6 1/2 video games up on Toronto and the Central-leading Cleveland Guardians have been six video games up on the Chicago White Sox.

OCTOBER ODDS

You are reading: A wild-card spot a digital lock for Blue Jays, dwelling discipline a superb risk

The Blue Jays have a 98.6-per cent likelihood of securing a wild-card spot and a 6.7-per cent likelihood of profitable the World Sequence, per FanGraphs odds on Thursday afternoon.

Toronto’s probabilities of profitable the East Division are listed at simply 1.2 per cent on the web site.

After the Blue Jays’ present street journey ends on Sunday, the crew will return to Rogers Centre for a three-game collection towards the Yankees, adopted by a three-game weekend set towards the Boston Pink Sox.

Toronto and Baltimore will shut the marketing campaign with a three-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. That collection will wrap on Oct. 5 with a late afternoon begin.

Readmore : Yankees’ Taillon hit by line drive, leaves after two innings

BORDER CHANGES

A cupboard order implementing obligatory COVID-19 vaccination necessities on the border is predicted to run out on Sept. 30, which might present extra choices for opposing groups in potential playoff video games in Toronto.

Border restrictions on travellers who aren’t vaccinated pressured a number of golf equipment so as to add gamers to the restricted checklist for street video games at Rogers Centre this season.

Tampa Bay’s Brooks Raley missed a five-game collection at Toronto earlier this month. Fellow Rays reliever Ryan Thompson was additionally on the restricted checklist for the crew’s journey north earlier within the season.

The Mariners put reliever Drew Steckenrider on the restricted checklist for his or her lone go to to Toronto this 12 months. Starter Robbie Ray, who gained the AL Cy Younger Award final 12 months with the Blue Jays, additionally didn’t make the journey.

ROAD WARRIORS

House-field benefit in a playoff collection is often a crew’s choice however the Blue Jays must be a assured bunch in the event that they open the post-season on the street.

Getting into play Thursday, Toronto has gained 15 of its final 19 street video games and boasted a 41-33 report away from dwelling. The Blue Jays’ .554 street profitable share was second within the AL behind the Houston Astros.

Toronto’s offence has shone away from dwelling. The Blue Jays lead the AL in street runs per sport (5.15), street common (. 267), street on-base share (. 331), street slugging share (. 427) and street OPS (. 758).

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BO KNOWS

Blue Jays shortstop Bo Bichette began the month of September on a tear and hasn’t let up with a few week to go.

He took a glowing .424 batting common for the month into Thursday’s collection opener towards Tampa Bay.

Bichette has pushed in 23 runs in September and has a month-to-month OPS of a whopping 1.267. He leads all big-league hitters this month in hits, extra-base hits, complete bases and RBIs.

This report by The Canadian Press was first printed Sept. 22, 2022.

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