Rays vs Blue Jays Picks and Predictions: Bo Shines in Recreation 1 of Essential Sequence

The Toronto Blue Jays open an enormous five-game sequence once they welcome the Tampa Bay Rays to city tonight. 

Toronto trails Tampa by only a half-game within the American League Wild Card standings heading into this uncommon five-game set, and carries a ton of second and confidence with it after returning dwelling following a 9-2 highway journey.

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Rays vs Blue Jays greatest odds

Rays vs Blue Jays picks and predictions

The Blue Jays come into this sequence driving the momentum of a 9-2 highway journey and an enormous a part of that has been due to the play of Bo Bichette. The Blue Jays’ shortstop has been hotter than the floor of the solar for the reason that begin of September and it seems like his method on the plate has settled down a bit and actually turned him free. 

Bichette is doing a a lot better job of holding his head down and letting the ball come to his bat and has been keen to take the ball the opposite means — and the outcomes have been phenomenal. Bichette has tallied 22 hits in 44 at-bats (.500) within the month of September and owns a formidable 1.602 OPS. That features 13 extra-base hits (six dwelling runs).

In the meantime, the Rays enter this sequence main the Blue Jays by only a half-game for the highest wild-card spot within the American League however are coming off a tough weekend at Yankee Stadium. Tampa Bay obtained two innings mixed from its two starters over its final two video games and needed to dig deep into its bullpen — together with utilizing lengthy man Ryan Yarbrough for 5 innings yesterday.

Whereas the Rays nonetheless have some nice arms in that pen, I’m giving the sting to Bo on this matchup. He stays in his circulate and goes Over 1.5 complete bases for the eighth time in his final 11 video games. The even cash is the cherry on prime.

Rays vs Blue Jays betting preview

Moneyline evaluation

The Blue Jays opened this American League East matchup as about -145 favorites however bettors have sided with Toronto right here, transferring the road to as a lot as -164. And it is smart. Toronto is beginning a Main League pitcher whereas the Rays aren’t.

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The most recent downswing has inflated Berrios’ anticipated ERA to five.39 whereas surrendering a .275 anticipated batting common to opponents. 

Toronto theoretically must be favored by much more than this if you happen to may belief Berrios to place up a dependable begin. Sadly, he simply hasn’t been in a position to try this.

So, even in opposition to a Rays group that’s beginning a man who’s making his first MLB look of the yr — and has to navigate a taxed bullpen — it’s actually arduous to belief the Jays right here. Kevin Money and the Rays at all times discover a solution to manipulate their relievers to their benefit, so don’t be stunned in the event that they play effectively right here.

It is a keep away facet for me.

Over/Beneath evaluation

The overall of 8.5 feels fairly spot on for this matchup. Whereas the Rays ought to have a number of of their high-leverage relievers from a bullpen that ranks sixth within the MLB in ERA, will probably be fascinating to see how they navigate by means of the primary five-to-six innings of this recreation in opposition to a powerful Blue Jays lineup.

Although Toronto’s offense can undergo some chilly spells, the group nonetheless ranks eighth in batting common, sixth in OPS, and fifth in wRC+ since popping out of the All-Star break.

Oh, and did we point out Jose Berrios was beginning this recreation? The inconsistent surprise now has to tackle a Tampa lineup that regardless of a ton of accidents has additionally gotten the job finished within the post-All-Star break, rating twelfth in OPS and ninth in wRC+ within the second half.

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The Rays have been an issue for Berrios once they final met again in July. Whereas they solely plated two runs, they obtained to him for eight hits and two walks. 

So, whereas I’ve no official play right here, with Berrios on the mound, and an at all times harmful Jays’ lineup I’d lean in the direction of the Over. 

Rays vs Blue Jays recreation data

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date: Monday, September 12, 2022
First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports activities Solar, Sportsnet

Beginning pitchers

Cooper Criswell (0-0, 0.00 ERA)Criswell makes his first Main League look of 2022 on this matchup. The proper-hander has thrown 27 1-3 innings at Triple-A Durham this season, pitching to a 3.95 ERA, with an 0.95 WHIP and 22 strikeouts.

Jose Berrios (10-5, 5.23 ERA): The highs and lows of this Joes Berrios season simply gained’t cease. After throwing consecutive sturdy outings in opposition to the Yankees and Crimson Sox, the right-hander adopted these up by surrendering six earned runs on 18 hits to the Cubs and Orioles.

Key accidents

Climate

Betting pattern to know

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