Our horse racing betting professional is right here with picks for the Arlington Million, one of many premier turf races run yearly within the U.S., which takes place Saturday afternoon at Louisville’s Churchill Downs. Publish time for the eleventh race and major occasion: 6:25 p.m. ET.
Arlington Race Course in Arlington Heights, Sick. was completely closed final yr and the location was bought by the Chicago Bears as a possible stadium location, forcing the Grade I occasion to be moved to a special venue.
Clean Like Strait is the lukewarm morning line favourite within the $1 million, 1 1/8 miles race, with three different entrants at odds beneath 5-1 within the nine-horse discipline.
Arlington Million Predictions
Winner – (1) Set Piece
Place – (4) Clean Like Strait
Present – (7) Admission Workplace
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Set-ting up for a more in-depth
Definitely, SET PIECE will probably be passing horses within the stretch. Whether or not he rolls previous your entire discipline will depend on racing luck.
The deep nearer, pegged a 4-1 on the morning-line, is hard to carry off if he will get clear crusing. Set Piece has received 10 of his 21 lifetime begins, together with a pair of Grade 2 occasions on the turf over his final six begins. A kind of victories got here at Churchill Downs within the Smart Dan Stakes final yr.
Set Piece was unable to shut into a really gradual tempo at Keeneland in his first begin this yr. The 6-year-old gelding made amends at Pimlico in Could, capturing the Grade 2 Dinner Celebration Stakes on Preakness Day.
In his final outing, Set Piece skimmed the rail in Saratoga’s Forbidden Apple Stakes. Jockey Florent Geroux regarded for a gap within the stretch and couldn’t discover one till it was means too late. Set Piece wound up fifth as the favourite, overwhelmed three lengths.
There’s sufficient pace in Saturday’s discipline to arrange Set Piece’s late kick. So long as Geroux finds working room within the stretch, this Brad Cox-gelding needs to be first below the wire.
‘Clean’ and constant on the grass
Put SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT within the beginning gate and he’ll give his greatest. When it comes to constant stakes horses, it might be troublesome to search out one other horse on this planet as constant as this 5-year-old horse. He’s completed within the cash in 18 of 20 lifetime turf races whereas taking over the most effective of the most effective. He’s competed in 12 consecutive Grade 1 or 2 occasions.
Clean Like Strait has run a majority of his races in mile occasions. His report in 1 1/18-mile contests consists of 1 win, two seconds and a 3rd. Clean Like Strait is at all times part of the early combine. He’ll both be on the lead or working second within the early going.
Corridor of Famer John Velazquez will information Clean Like Strait for the primary time for coach Michael McCarthy, who’s seeking to finish the horse’s ‘shut however no cigar’ tendencies. Clean Like Strait has misplaced his final six races, although solely a type of defeats was by greater than a half-length. He was overwhelmed two lengths in final begin, Santa Anita’s Shoemaker Mile, after a quick tempo by which Clean Like Strait ran the primary six furlongs in 1:09.
Clean Like Strait will probably be proper there on the end as soon as once more, however search for Set Piece to catch him close to the end.
Coach Brian Lynch deserves a whole lot of credit score for his work with ADMISSION OFFICE. The 7-year-old gelding hadn’t run since February 2021 when he made his season debut in June. Entered within the Million’s prep race, the Arlington Stakes, Admission Workplace made up 5 lengths within the stretch and received at 7-1 odds. That was Admission Workplace’s first victory since June 2020, when he received the Grade 3 Louisville at Churchill.
In his second begin this yr, Admission Workplace completed final in a five-horse discipline in a non-graded stakes at Belmont Park. It might be unfair to say the horse ‘bounced’ off his huge effort at Churchill. The Belmont race was contested at 1 ½ miles and the tempo was extraordinarily gradual. Admission Workplace had no shot to unleash his closing kick in that occasion.
Slicing again in distance, Admission Workplace is usually a issue on Saturday and gather at the least a bit of the purse. Rated at 10-1 within the morning line, he’s fairly worthy of being thrown into all unique wagers.
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